Monday, August 05, 2013

International Energy Outlook 2013

At the bottom of this page is a link to the full International Energy Outlook 2013 report (300+ pages) from the EIA (U.S. Energy Information Administration).

All highlights below from this report refer to the period from 2010 to 2040 for the world.

  • Energy use will increase 56%.
  • It will grow from 524 to 820 quadrillion BTUs.
  • The OECD countries will increase their consumption by only 17%.
  • The non-OECD countries will increase it by 90%.
  • Fossil Fuels will continue to comprise close to 80% of our total consumption.
  • These are the projected growths for each fuel type:
    • Natural gas: 63.8%
    • Coal: 48.9%
    • Liquids: 32.1%
  • In absolute terms, fossil fuel use will grow faster than all other energies combined. 
  • Carbon dioxide emissions, thus will also continue to increase from 31 to 45 billion metric tons. An increase of 45%.
  • By 2040 these will be the market shares of the following low carbon energy sources in the production of electricity:
    • Hydro: 16.0%
    • Nuclear: 14.1%
    • Wind: 4.7%
    • Solar: 1.2%
  • Overall, electricity generation increases by 93%.
In graph form, this is how the most important indicators look:

Conclusion: the struggle against climatic change is much more difficult than most people realize. Far from advancing, we are really losing ground. More efforts at every level would be required to change the above projections into something less dangerous for humanity.

Link to the full EIA Report:

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At 1:54 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Just one small comment really:

"" something less dangerous for humanity ""

I would change that to read:

"" something less catastrophic for humanity ""



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